Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow sustain elevated temperatures across southern England, with Met Office and ECMWF consensus pointing to an 18–20°C overnight minimum for London on August 14 amid the ongoing heatwave. Clear skies and light winds restrict radiative cooling overnight, while unusually high regional sea-surface temperatures and a record-warm summer baseline limit deeper drops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (56.5%) to 22°C, with 21–23°C together capturing over 90% of market sentiment, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band between official guidance and the moderating effects of the current synoptic pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 14 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 14 agosto?
22°C 43%
21°C 26%
23°C 14%
20°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
16°C o inferiore
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
26%
22°C
43%
23°C
14%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
22°C 43%
21°C 26%
23°C 14%
20°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
16°C o inferiore
$586 Vol.
1%
17°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$200 Vol.
1%
19°C
$98 Vol.
2%
20°C
$404 Vol.
5%
21°C
$705 Vol.
26%
22°C
$2,166 Vol.
43%
23°C
$485 Vol.
14%
24°C
$117 Vol.
1%
25°C
$131 Vol.
1%
26°C o superiore
$316 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow sustain elevated temperatures across southern England, with Met Office and ECMWF consensus pointing to an 18–20°C overnight minimum for London on August 14 amid the ongoing heatwave. Clear skies and light winds restrict radiative cooling overnight, while unusually high regional sea-surface temperatures and a record-warm summer baseline limit deeper drops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (56.5%) to 22°C, with 21–23°C together capturing over 90% of market sentiment, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band between official guidance and the moderating effects of the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,299Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow sustain elevated temperatures across southern England, with Met Office and ECMWF consensus pointing to an 18–20°C overnight minimum for London on August 14 amid the ongoing heatwave. Clear skies and light winds restrict radiative cooling overnight, while unusually high regional sea-surface temperatures and a record-warm summer baseline limit deeper drops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (56.5%) to 22°C, with 21–23°C together capturing over 90% of market sentiment, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band between official guidance and the moderating effects of the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,299Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow sustain elevated temperatures across southern England, with Met Office and ECMWF consensus pointing to an 18–20°C overnight minimum for London on August 14 amid the ongoing heatwave. Clear skies and light winds restrict radiative cooling overnight, while unusually high regional sea-surface temperatures and a record-warm summer baseline limit deeper drops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (56.5%) to 22°C, with 21–23°C together capturing over 90% of market sentiment, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band between official guidance and the moderating effects of the current synoptic pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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