Recent extreme heat in Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October, underpins trader focus on 33–34°C outcomes for August 13. Short-range model guidance and extended forecasts currently cluster daily highs in the 33–36°C range, with some guidance showing 34–36°C before increased moisture and showers expected from August 14 begin to moderate afternoon peaks. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects this transitional window, where persistent warmth from regional atmospheric patterns meets the first signs of a wetter regime that historically caps daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Updated Hong Kong Observatory briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 13 agosto?
33°C 46%
32°C 29%
35°C 12%
34°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
29%
33°C
46%
34°C
8%
35°C
12%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 46%
32°C 29%
35°C 12%
34°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$257 Vol.
5%
31°C
$20 Vol.
13%
32°C
$53 Vol.
29%
33°C
$125 Vol.
46%
34°C
$48 Vol.
8%
35°C
$25 Vol.
12%
36°C
$122 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent extreme heat in Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October, underpins trader focus on 33–34°C outcomes for August 13. Short-range model guidance and extended forecasts currently cluster daily highs in the 33–36°C range, with some guidance showing 34–36°C before increased moisture and showers expected from August 14 begin to moderate afternoon peaks. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects this transitional window, where persistent warmth from regional atmospheric patterns meets the first signs of a wetter regime that historically caps daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Updated Hong Kong Observatory briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$674Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent extreme heat in Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October, underpins trader focus on 33–34°C outcomes for August 13. Short-range model guidance and extended forecasts currently cluster daily highs in the 33–36°C range, with some guidance showing 34–36°C before increased moisture and showers expected from August 14 begin to moderate afternoon peaks. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects this transitional window, where persistent warmth from regional atmospheric patterns meets the first signs of a wetter regime that historically caps daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Updated Hong Kong Observatory briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$674Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent extreme heat in Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October, underpins trader focus on 33–34°C outcomes for August 13. Short-range model guidance and extended forecasts currently cluster daily highs in the 33–36°C range, with some guidance showing 34–36°C before increased moisture and showers expected from August 14 begin to moderate afternoon peaks. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects this transitional window, where persistent warmth from regional atmospheric patterns meets the first signs of a wetter regime that historically caps daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Updated Hong Kong Observatory briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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