Latest medium-range ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and Finnish Meteorological Institute places the expected daily maximum at Helsinki-Vantaa near 19 °C on 13 August, with a narrow envelope of 18–21 °C reflecting modest model spread. A southwesterly flow advects mild maritime air while broken cloud and light-moderate winds limit surface heating and promote mixing, preventing stronger diurnal rises. Recent runs show little change in the steering pattern or moisture profile over the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution centered on these values; any increase in insolation or slight backing of the wind could push the peak toward 21 °C, whereas more persistent stratiform cloud would favor 18 °C. Market pricing mirrors this tight uncertainty band, with 20 °C holding a modest edge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Helsinki il 13 agosto?
20°C 28%
19°C 22%
21°C 16%
18°C 13%
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
13%
19°C
22%
20°C
28%
21°C
16%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 28%
19°C 22%
21°C 16%
18°C 13%
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
13%
19°C
22%
20°C
28%
21°C
16%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest medium-range ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and Finnish Meteorological Institute places the expected daily maximum at Helsinki-Vantaa near 19 °C on 13 August, with a narrow envelope of 18–21 °C reflecting modest model spread. A southwesterly flow advects mild maritime air while broken cloud and light-moderate winds limit surface heating and promote mixing, preventing stronger diurnal rises. Recent runs show little change in the steering pattern or moisture profile over the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution centered on these values; any increase in insolation or slight backing of the wind could push the peak toward 21 °C, whereas more persistent stratiform cloud would favor 18 °C. Market pricing mirrors this tight uncertainty band, with 20 °C holding a modest edge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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