Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August humidity levels in Hong Kong limit nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning overnight minimum temperatures near 27–29°C as the most probable outcomes according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus. Seasonal forecasts indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October, reinforced by long-term warming trends and the absence of significant cooling systems or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window. Recent model runs show limited variability in steering patterns, keeping probabilities concentrated on 28°C and 29°C while assigning lower weight to extremes below 25°C or above 30°C. Updated observational data and any revised short-range forecasts ahead of August 13 will refine these market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 13 agosto?
22°C o inferiore 40%
28°C 40%
29°C 28%
27°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
40%
23°C
16%
24°C
16%
25°C
11%
26°C
24%
27°C
26%
28°C
40%
29°C
28%
30°C
16%
31°C
24%
32°C o superiore
<1%
22°C o inferiore 40%
28°C 40%
29°C 28%
27°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$27 Vol.
40%
23°C
$27 Vol.
16%
24°C
$27 Vol.
16%
25°C
$30 Vol.
11%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
40%
29°C
$0 Vol.
28%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C
$12 Vol.
24%
32°C o superiore
$48 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August humidity levels in Hong Kong limit nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning overnight minimum temperatures near 27–29°C as the most probable outcomes according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus. Seasonal forecasts indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October, reinforced by long-term warming trends and the absence of significant cooling systems or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window. Recent model runs show limited variability in steering patterns, keeping probabilities concentrated on 28°C and 29°C while assigning lower weight to extremes below 25°C or above 30°C. Updated observational data and any revised short-range forecasts ahead of August 13 will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$142Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August humidity levels in Hong Kong limit nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning overnight minimum temperatures near 27–29°C as the most probable outcomes according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus. Seasonal forecasts indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October, reinforced by long-term warming trends and the absence of significant cooling systems or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window. Recent model runs show limited variability in steering patterns, keeping probabilities concentrated on 28°C and 29°C while assigning lower weight to extremes below 25°C or above 30°C. Updated observational data and any revised short-range forecasts ahead of August 13 will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$142Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August humidity levels in Hong Kong limit nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning overnight minimum temperatures near 27–29°C as the most probable outcomes according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus. Seasonal forecasts indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October, reinforced by long-term warming trends and the absence of significant cooling systems or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window. Recent model runs show limited variability in steering patterns, keeping probabilities concentrated on 28°C and 29°C while assigning lower weight to extremes below 25°C or above 30°C. Updated observational data and any revised short-range forecasts ahead of August 13 will refine these market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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