Recent forecasts for Shanghai point to nighttime lows near 25–27°C on August 13 amid persistent summer humidity, light rain, and overcast skies that limit radiational cooling. High moisture content and urban heat retention typically keep minimum temperatures elevated, while variable steering patterns and model spreads in short-range guidance create the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 25–26°C, with recent days confirming similar readings under comparable conditions. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold traders are assessing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 13 agosto?
27°C 37%
26°C 25%
25°C 13%
29°C 10%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
25%
27°C
37%
28°C
9%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
4%
27°C 37%
26°C 25%
25°C 13%
29°C 10%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
25%
27°C
37%
28°C
9%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai point to nighttime lows near 25–27°C on August 13 amid persistent summer humidity, light rain, and overcast skies that limit radiational cooling. High moisture content and urban heat retention typically keep minimum temperatures elevated, while variable steering patterns and model spreads in short-range guidance create the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 25–26°C, with recent days confirming similar readings under comparable conditions. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold traders are assessing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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