Wellington’s August climatology features typical daily maximums near 12°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows and frequent southerly outbreaks that keep the city cool, yet the market’s concentration on 14–16°C outcomes reflects trader assessment of near-term model guidance and the NIWA seasonal outlook favoring near-average to slightly above-average temperatures through mid-month. Recent observations, including a 12°C peak on August 2, align with baseline conditions, while short-range forecasts point to a transient ridge or lighter wind regime that could allow modest daytime warming without pushing into the low teens Celsius or above 17°C. Resolution hinges on official MetService or NIWA maximum readings for the 24-hour period ending August 13, with uncertainty arising from potential changes in synoptic patterns over the next 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 13 agosto?
15°C 49%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
17°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
21%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 49%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
17°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
9°C or below
$158 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$138 Vol.
1%
12°C
$227 Vol.
1%
13°C
$135 Vol.
2%
14°C
$468 Vol.
21%
15°C
$326 Vol.
49%
16°C
$648 Vol.
27%
17°C
$156 Vol.
3%
18°C
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$148 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s August climatology features typical daily maximums near 12°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows and frequent southerly outbreaks that keep the city cool, yet the market’s concentration on 14–16°C outcomes reflects trader assessment of near-term model guidance and the NIWA seasonal outlook favoring near-average to slightly above-average temperatures through mid-month. Recent observations, including a 12°C peak on August 2, align with baseline conditions, while short-range forecasts point to a transient ridge or lighter wind regime that could allow modest daytime warming without pushing into the low teens Celsius or above 17°C. Resolution hinges on official MetService or NIWA maximum readings for the 24-hour period ending August 13, with uncertainty arising from potential changes in synoptic patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,567Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s August climatology features typical daily maximums near 12°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows and frequent southerly outbreaks that keep the city cool, yet the market’s concentration on 14–16°C outcomes reflects trader assessment of near-term model guidance and the NIWA seasonal outlook favoring near-average to slightly above-average temperatures through mid-month. Recent observations, including a 12°C peak on August 2, align with baseline conditions, while short-range forecasts point to a transient ridge or lighter wind regime that could allow modest daytime warming without pushing into the low teens Celsius or above 17°C. Resolution hinges on official MetService or NIWA maximum readings for the 24-hour period ending August 13, with uncertainty arising from potential changes in synoptic patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,567Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington’s August climatology features typical daily maximums near 12°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows and frequent southerly outbreaks that keep the city cool, yet the market’s concentration on 14–16°C outcomes reflects trader assessment of near-term model guidance and the NIWA seasonal outlook favoring near-average to slightly above-average temperatures through mid-month. Recent observations, including a 12°C peak on August 2, align with baseline conditions, while short-range forecasts point to a transient ridge or lighter wind regime that could allow modest daytime warming without pushing into the low teens Celsius or above 17°C. Resolution hinges on official MetService or NIWA maximum readings for the 24-hour period ending August 13, with uncertainty arising from potential changes in synoptic patterns over the next 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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