High pressure dominating northwest Europe has produced clear skies and light winds over London, promoting radiative cooling overnight and anchoring trader focus on minimum temperatures of 18–20°C for August 13. Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a nighttime low near 19–21°C, with the urban heat-island effect and variable cloud timing creating tight probabilities across these outcomes. Recent subsidence warming has kept daytime maxima in the mid-30s, yet the same stable pattern limits further nocturnal drops below 18°C or pushes above 21°C. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed will be the key variables traders monitor before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 13 agosto?
19°C 37%
20°C 33%
18°C 16%
21°C 8%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
16%
19°C
37%
20°C
33%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
19°C 37%
20°C 33%
18°C 16%
21°C 8%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
16%
19°C
37%
20°C
33%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure dominating northwest Europe has produced clear skies and light winds over London, promoting radiative cooling overnight and anchoring trader focus on minimum temperatures of 18–20°C for August 13. Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a nighttime low near 19–21°C, with the urban heat-island effect and variable cloud timing creating tight probabilities across these outcomes. Recent subsidence warming has kept daytime maxima in the mid-30s, yet the same stable pattern limits further nocturnal drops below 18°C or pushes above 21°C. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed will be the key variables traders monitor before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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