Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that are moderating daytime highs for August 13, keeping temperatures in the mid-70s rather than allowing typical August warming. Official guidance shows patchy fog transitioning to partly cloudy conditions with highs near 74–76°F at key observation sites like LAX, consistent with the market’s leading 76–77°F bin at 49.5% implied probability. This setup reflects climatological patterns where coastal stratus suppresses maximum temperatures, and recent model runs have not indicated significant warming or offshore flow shifts that would push readings into the upper 70s or beyond. Traders appear to weigh these stable marine influences heavily ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 13 agosto?
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 5%
69°F o inferiore
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 5%
69°F o inferiore
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that are moderating daytime highs for August 13, keeping temperatures in the mid-70s rather than allowing typical August warming. Official guidance shows patchy fog transitioning to partly cloudy conditions with highs near 74–76°F at key observation sites like LAX, consistent with the market’s leading 76–77°F bin at 49.5% implied probability. This setup reflects climatological patterns where coastal stratus suppresses maximum temperatures, and recent model runs have not indicated significant warming or offshore flow shifts that would push readings into the upper 70s or beyond. Traders appear to weigh these stable marine influences heavily ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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