Recent heavy rainfall and lingering moisture from Typhoon Dolphin, which made landfall in eastern China on August 9, have suppressed daytime heating across Shanghai, with official forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center pointing to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and highs near 29–30°C on August 12. This contrasts with typical mid-August climatology of 32–35°C under clearer subtropical high pressure. Model consensus emphasizes continued cloud cover and easterly flow moderating temperatures, favoring the market's leading outcomes around 28–30°C while reducing chances of exceeding 31°C. Updated NMC guidance ahead of the date will refine these short-term variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 12 agosto?
29°C 49%
28°C 27%
30°C 21%
27°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
27%
29°C
49%
30°C
21%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 27%
30°C 21%
27°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
$582 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$602 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$308 Vol.
1%
27°C
$773 Vol.
4%
28°C
$2,080 Vol.
27%
29°C
$1,805 Vol.
49%
30°C
$1,602 Vol.
21%
31°C
$911 Vol.
4%
32°C
$219 Vol.
1%
33°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
34°C o superiore
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and lingering moisture from Typhoon Dolphin, which made landfall in eastern China on August 9, have suppressed daytime heating across Shanghai, with official forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center pointing to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and highs near 29–30°C on August 12. This contrasts with typical mid-August climatology of 32–35°C under clearer subtropical high pressure. Model consensus emphasizes continued cloud cover and easterly flow moderating temperatures, favoring the market's leading outcomes around 28–30°C while reducing chances of exceeding 31°C. Updated NMC guidance ahead of the date will refine these short-term variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$9,687Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and lingering moisture from Typhoon Dolphin, which made landfall in eastern China on August 9, have suppressed daytime heating across Shanghai, with official forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center pointing to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and highs near 29–30°C on August 12. This contrasts with typical mid-August climatology of 32–35°C under clearer subtropical high pressure. Model consensus emphasizes continued cloud cover and easterly flow moderating temperatures, favoring the market's leading outcomes around 28–30°C while reducing chances of exceeding 31°C. Updated NMC guidance ahead of the date will refine these short-term variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,687Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and lingering moisture from Typhoon Dolphin, which made landfall in eastern China on August 9, have suppressed daytime heating across Shanghai, with official forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center pointing to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and highs near 29–30°C on August 12. This contrasts with typical mid-August climatology of 32–35°C under clearer subtropical high pressure. Model consensus emphasizes continued cloud cover and easterly flow moderating temperatures, favoring the market's leading outcomes around 28–30°C while reducing chances of exceeding 31°C. Updated NMC guidance ahead of the date will refine these short-term variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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