Recent forecasts from regional models and Saudi meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Jeddah likely reaching 39–41°C on August 15, driven by persistent summer heat, high humidity from the Red Sea, and weak steering winds limiting cooling. National Center for Meteorology outlooks for summer 2026 project above-normal temperatures across the region, consistent with historical August averages near 38–40°C and occasional peaks exceeding 42°C. This positions the 40°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability, while lower bins reflect uncertainty in exact maximum readings amid typical diurnal variability and model spread. Final official measurements from local stations will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Gedda il 15 agosto?
40°C o superiore 64%
39°C 18%
38°C 11%
37°C 9%
30°C o inferiore
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
9%
38°C
11%
39°C
18%
40°C o superiore
76%
40°C o superiore 64%
39°C 18%
38°C 11%
37°C 9%
30°C o inferiore
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
9%
38°C
11%
39°C
18%
40°C o superiore
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models and Saudi meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Jeddah likely reaching 39–41°C on August 15, driven by persistent summer heat, high humidity from the Red Sea, and weak steering winds limiting cooling. National Center for Meteorology outlooks for summer 2026 project above-normal temperatures across the region, consistent with historical August averages near 38–40°C and occasional peaks exceeding 42°C. This positions the 40°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability, while lower bins reflect uncertainty in exact maximum readings amid typical diurnal variability and model spread. Final official measurements from local stations will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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