Recent forecasts from global and regional models, aligned with Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, position Karachi’s August 15 maximum near 31–33 °C, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on those outcomes. Mid-August climatology under Arabian Sea monsoon influence features persistent humidity, onshore sea breezes, and variable cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms that typically suppress daytime peaks and prevent extremes above 34 °C. Current observations show overcast skies and temperatures around 29–30 °C, with no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh this stable moderation against the narrow chance of clearer skies allowing a brief spike to 33 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Karachi il 15 agosto?
32°C 52%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
34°C 12%
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
52%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
34°C 12%
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
52%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, aligned with Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, position Karachi’s August 15 maximum near 31–33 °C, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on those outcomes. Mid-August climatology under Arabian Sea monsoon influence features persistent humidity, onshore sea breezes, and variable cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms that typically suppress daytime peaks and prevent extremes above 34 °C. Current observations show overcast skies and temperatures around 29–30 °C, with no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh this stable moderation against the narrow chance of clearer skies allowing a brief spike to 33 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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