Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 15, 2026, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical high-pressure conditions with strong solar heating and limited ventilation due to the surrounding basin topography that traps warm, humid air. This aligns with climatological norms for the region, where August highs average 33–35°C and extreme peaks above 38°C require specific heatwave setups such as prolonged subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Recent model runs show no major shift from these patterns, with modest moisture and thunderstorm chances helping cap intensification, which supports trader consensus around the 35–37°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 39°C+ extremes absent stronger warming signals in updated guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 15 agosto?
36°C 50%
35°C 25%
37°C 21%
34°C 15%
32°C or below
4%
33°C
10%
34°C
15%
35°C
25%
36°C
39%
37°C
21%
38°C
12%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
36°C 50%
35°C 25%
37°C 21%
34°C 15%
32°C or below
4%
33°C
10%
34°C
15%
35°C
25%
36°C
39%
37°C
21%
38°C
12%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 15, 2026, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical high-pressure conditions with strong solar heating and limited ventilation due to the surrounding basin topography that traps warm, humid air. This aligns with climatological norms for the region, where August highs average 33–35°C and extreme peaks above 38°C require specific heatwave setups such as prolonged subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Recent model runs show no major shift from these patterns, with modest moisture and thunderstorm chances helping cap intensification, which supports trader consensus around the 35–37°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 39°C+ extremes absent stronger warming signals in updated guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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