National Weather Service forecasts project a San Francisco high near 71°F on August 12 amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the cool Pacific, which caps afternoon warming and aligns with the near-even market weighting on the 68–71°F bins. This typical August pattern—driven by a marine layer several hundred to over 1,500 feet deep—introduces stratus clouds and fog that limit solar heating while the sea breeze maintains temperatures close to the long-term average of 69–70°F. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on minor forecast variations in layer depth, wind strength, or any afternoon clearing, with models showing limited warming potential absent a strong offshore flow. Traders closely track the latest NWS updates and model runs for any shifts in these coastal dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 12 agosto?
70-71°F 40%
68-69°F 34%
72-73°F 14%
66-67°F 8%
63°F o inferiore
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 40%
68-69°F 34%
72-73°F 14%
66-67°F 8%
63°F o inferiore
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a San Francisco high near 71°F on August 12 amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the cool Pacific, which caps afternoon warming and aligns with the near-even market weighting on the 68–71°F bins. This typical August pattern—driven by a marine layer several hundred to over 1,500 feet deep—introduces stratus clouds and fog that limit solar heating while the sea breeze maintains temperatures close to the long-term average of 69–70°F. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on minor forecast variations in layer depth, wind strength, or any afternoon clearing, with models showing limited warming potential absent a strong offshore flow. Traders closely track the latest NWS updates and model runs for any shifts in these coastal dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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