PAGASA forecasts and monsoon patterns are the main drivers keeping Manila's August 16 maximum temperature centered near 29–30 °C in trader pricing. The southwest monsoon continues to deliver widespread cloud cover and scattered to heavy rainfall across Luzon, reducing solar insolation and limiting afternoon heating compared with clearer-sky conditions. Official outlooks show daily highs of 29–33 °C, yet persistent moisture and convective activity favor values at the lower end of that range, consistent with climatological August averages near 31 °C being tempered by seasonal rainfall. With resolution based on the official recorded peak, any shift in monsoon intensity or timing of showers over the next 48 hours could adjust the distribution among the closely matched 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 16 agosto?
30°C 40%
29°C 34%
31°C 15%
28°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
30%
30°C
33%
31°C
15%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C o superiore
2%
30°C 40%
29°C 34%
31°C 15%
28°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
$201 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
1%
26°C
$49 Vol.
3%
27°C
$46 Vol.
5%
28°C
$3 Vol.
15%
29°C
$7 Vol.
30%
30°C
$8 Vol.
33%
31°C
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C
$1 Vol.
10%
33°C
$16 Vol.
2%
34°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts and monsoon patterns are the main drivers keeping Manila's August 16 maximum temperature centered near 29–30 °C in trader pricing. The southwest monsoon continues to deliver widespread cloud cover and scattered to heavy rainfall across Luzon, reducing solar insolation and limiting afternoon heating compared with clearer-sky conditions. Official outlooks show daily highs of 29–33 °C, yet persistent moisture and convective activity favor values at the lower end of that range, consistent with climatological August averages near 31 °C being tempered by seasonal rainfall. With resolution based on the official recorded peak, any shift in monsoon intensity or timing of showers over the next 48 hours could adjust the distribution among the closely matched 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$371Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts and monsoon patterns are the main drivers keeping Manila's August 16 maximum temperature centered near 29–30 °C in trader pricing. The southwest monsoon continues to deliver widespread cloud cover and scattered to heavy rainfall across Luzon, reducing solar insolation and limiting afternoon heating compared with clearer-sky conditions. Official outlooks show daily highs of 29–33 °C, yet persistent moisture and convective activity favor values at the lower end of that range, consistent with climatological August averages near 31 °C being tempered by seasonal rainfall. With resolution based on the official recorded peak, any shift in monsoon intensity or timing of showers over the next 48 hours could adjust the distribution among the closely matched 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$371Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts and monsoon patterns are the main drivers keeping Manila's August 16 maximum temperature centered near 29–30 °C in trader pricing. The southwest monsoon continues to deliver widespread cloud cover and scattered to heavy rainfall across Luzon, reducing solar insolation and limiting afternoon heating compared with clearer-sky conditions. Official outlooks show daily highs of 29–33 °C, yet persistent moisture and convective activity favor values at the lower end of that range, consistent with climatological August averages near 31 °C being tempered by seasonal rainfall. With resolution based on the official recorded peak, any shift in monsoon intensity or timing of showers over the next 48 hours could adjust the distribution among the closely matched 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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