Forecast consensus from the UK Met Office and ECMWF models positions 26–27°C as the most probable maximum for London on August 16, with light northerly winds, mostly sunny intervals, and high pressure limiting cloud cover and convective activity. Recent cooling after earlier August peaks above 35°C has stabilized daytime highs in the mid-20s, aligning with climatological August averages near 22–24°C while model runs show limited potential for further warming or significant diurnal swings. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with lower odds on extremes driven by the absence of strong southerly advection or Atlantic fronts in the latest guidance. Updated model outputs and Met Office briefings ahead of the day will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 16 agosto?
26°C 39%
27°C 31%
25°C 18%
28°C 9%
NUOVO
$16,014 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,014 Vol.
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
39%
27°C
31%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 39%
27°C 31%
25°C 18%
28°C 9%
NUOVO
$16,014 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,014 Vol.
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
$1,599 Vol.
3%
24°C
$2,064 Vol.
3%
25°C
$4,251 Vol.
18%
26°C
$2,105 Vol.
39%
27°C
$2,273 Vol.
31%
28°C
$1,043 Vol.
9%
29°C
$680 Vol.
2%
30°C
$795 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the UK Met Office and ECMWF models positions 26–27°C as the most probable maximum for London on August 16, with light northerly winds, mostly sunny intervals, and high pressure limiting cloud cover and convective activity. Recent cooling after earlier August peaks above 35°C has stabilized daytime highs in the mid-20s, aligning with climatological August averages near 22–24°C while model runs show limited potential for further warming or significant diurnal swings. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with lower odds on extremes driven by the absence of strong southerly advection or Atlantic fronts in the latest guidance. Updated model outputs and Met Office briefings ahead of the day will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$16,014Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the UK Met Office and ECMWF models positions 26–27°C as the most probable maximum for London on August 16, with light northerly winds, mostly sunny intervals, and high pressure limiting cloud cover and convective activity. Recent cooling after earlier August peaks above 35°C has stabilized daytime highs in the mid-20s, aligning with climatological August averages near 22–24°C while model runs show limited potential for further warming or significant diurnal swings. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with lower odds on extremes driven by the absence of strong southerly advection or Atlantic fronts in the latest guidance. Updated model outputs and Met Office briefings ahead of the day will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,014Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the UK Met Office and ECMWF models positions 26–27°C as the most probable maximum for London on August 16, with light northerly winds, mostly sunny intervals, and high pressure limiting cloud cover and convective activity. Recent cooling after earlier August peaks above 35°C has stabilized daytime highs in the mid-20s, aligning with climatological August averages near 22–24°C while model runs show limited potential for further warming or significant diurnal swings. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with lower odds on extremes driven by the absence of strong southerly advection or Atlantic fronts in the latest guidance. Updated model outputs and Met Office briefings ahead of the day will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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