Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather ensemble guidance for Miami on August 16 points to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 80s, driven by persistent high dew points near 78°F, light easterly flow, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of mid-August subtropical conditions. Historical climatology shows average lows near 78–80°F, with recent observations and model runs consistently 1–3°F above normal due to urban heat retention and warm Gulf Stream influence. No tropical systems or frontal boundaries are expected to alter the pattern, keeping 82–83°F the consensus outcome at 46% implied probability while supporting the 80–81°F bucket at 29%. Updated NWS point forecasts and overnight model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Miami il 16 agosto?
82-83°F 46%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
76-77°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
46%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
<1%
82-83°F 46%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
76-77°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
$131 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$82 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$224 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$122 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$192 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$168 Vol.
46%
84-85°F
$500 Vol.
18%
86-87°F
$20 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$161 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$116 Vol.
<1%
92°F o superiore
$116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather ensemble guidance for Miami on August 16 points to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 80s, driven by persistent high dew points near 78°F, light easterly flow, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of mid-August subtropical conditions. Historical climatology shows average lows near 78–80°F, with recent observations and model runs consistently 1–3°F above normal due to urban heat retention and warm Gulf Stream influence. No tropical systems or frontal boundaries are expected to alter the pattern, keeping 82–83°F the consensus outcome at 46% implied probability while supporting the 80–81°F bucket at 29%. Updated NWS point forecasts and overnight model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,833Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather ensemble guidance for Miami on August 16 points to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 80s, driven by persistent high dew points near 78°F, light easterly flow, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of mid-August subtropical conditions. Historical climatology shows average lows near 78–80°F, with recent observations and model runs consistently 1–3°F above normal due to urban heat retention and warm Gulf Stream influence. No tropical systems or frontal boundaries are expected to alter the pattern, keeping 82–83°F the consensus outcome at 46% implied probability while supporting the 80–81°F bucket at 29%. Updated NWS point forecasts and overnight model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,833Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather ensemble guidance for Miami on August 16 points to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 80s, driven by persistent high dew points near 78°F, light easterly flow, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of mid-August subtropical conditions. Historical climatology shows average lows near 78–80°F, with recent observations and model runs consistently 1–3°F above normal due to urban heat retention and warm Gulf Stream influence. No tropical systems or frontal boundaries are expected to alter the pattern, keeping 82–83°F the consensus outcome at 46% implied probability while supporting the 80–81°F bucket at 29%. Updated NWS point forecasts and overnight model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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