Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s for Miami on August 14, driven by persistent high atmospheric moisture that restricts radiational cooling and scattered convection expected to maintain cloud cover through the night. Typical subtropical August conditions, including sea-breeze influences and urban heat retention, further moderate temperature drops below the 78°F climatological normal. Leading market outcomes clustered near 80–83°F reflect trader consensus on these limited cooling factors, with modest probability assigned to cooler readings if clearer skies allow greater heat loss. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions tonight will refine wind and cloud trends ahead of the 24-hour minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 14 agosto?
82-83°F 28%
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
71°F o inferiore
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o superiore
1%
82-83°F 28%
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
71°F o inferiore
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s for Miami on August 14, driven by persistent high atmospheric moisture that restricts radiational cooling and scattered convection expected to maintain cloud cover through the night. Typical subtropical August conditions, including sea-breeze influences and urban heat retention, further moderate temperature drops below the 78°F climatological normal. Leading market outcomes clustered near 80–83°F reflect trader consensus on these limited cooling factors, with modest probability assigned to cooler readings if clearer skies allow greater heat loss. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions tonight will refine wind and cloud trends ahead of the 24-hour minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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