Recent numerical weather models from sources like timeanddate and Met Office indicate a maximum temperature near 26–27°C for São Paulo on August 14, driven by mostly cloudy conditions, light winds, and a stable winter air mass typical of the Southern Hemisphere dry season. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs reach about 24°C but recent observations show variability up to 27.9°C. Trader consensus favors 27°C as the leading outcome because forecast guidance clusters in this range without strong signals for significant warming or cooling, though minor shifts in cloud cover or advection could adjust the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 14 agosto?
27°C 45%
26°C 21%
28°C 11%
25°C 10%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
10%
26°C
21%
27°C
45%
28°C
11%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 21%
28°C 11%
25°C 10%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
10%
26°C
21%
27°C
45%
28°C
11%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models from sources like timeanddate and Met Office indicate a maximum temperature near 26–27°C for São Paulo on August 14, driven by mostly cloudy conditions, light winds, and a stable winter air mass typical of the Southern Hemisphere dry season. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs reach about 24°C but recent observations show variability up to 27.9°C. Trader consensus favors 27°C as the leading outcome because forecast guidance clusters in this range without strong signals for significant warming or cooling, though minor shifts in cloud cover or advection could adjust the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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