Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and above-average seasonal temperatures position Central Park overnight lows near 72–74°F for August 14. Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on this range, reflecting limited nocturnal cooling from elevated dewpoints and light winds that suppress radiational heat loss. Slight model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture accounts for the near-even market odds between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 68°F, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly. Final NWS updates and real-time observations on the morning of the 14th remain the key resolution inputs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 14 agosto?
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 17%
78-79°F 10%
63°F o inferiore
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
1%
82°F o superiore
1%
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 17%
78-79°F 10%
63°F o inferiore
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
1%
82°F o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and above-average seasonal temperatures position Central Park overnight lows near 72–74°F for August 14. Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on this range, reflecting limited nocturnal cooling from elevated dewpoints and light winds that suppress radiational heat loss. Slight model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture accounts for the near-even market odds between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 68°F, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly. Final NWS updates and real-time observations on the morning of the 14th remain the key resolution inputs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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