The market-implied odds favor 24°C or 23°C as Tokyo’s minimum temperature on August 17 because the strengthened Pacific High continues to dominate, sustaining above-normal warmth with typical overnight lows near 24°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks and AccuWeather guidance align on this range for mid-August, where urban heat retention and light winds reduce radiative cooling while any increase in cloud cover or brief showers could nudge the minimum a degree lower. Traders weigh these factors against model spread in short-range forecasts, recognizing that small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture will decide between the two leading outcomes as the date approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 17 agosto?
25°C 41%
24°C 38%
23°C 27%
22°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
36%
24°C
38%
25°C
26%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 41%
24°C 38%
23°C 27%
22°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
$37 Vol.
1%
20°C
$10 Vol.
7%
21°C
$83 Vol.
5%
22°C
$120 Vol.
10%
23°C
$126 Vol.
36%
24°C
$118 Vol.
38%
25°C
$378 Vol.
26%
26°C
$93 Vol.
2%
27°C
$10 Vol.
6%
28°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor 24°C or 23°C as Tokyo’s minimum temperature on August 17 because the strengthened Pacific High continues to dominate, sustaining above-normal warmth with typical overnight lows near 24°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks and AccuWeather guidance align on this range for mid-August, where urban heat retention and light winds reduce radiative cooling while any increase in cloud cover or brief showers could nudge the minimum a degree lower. Traders weigh these factors against model spread in short-range forecasts, recognizing that small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture will decide between the two leading outcomes as the date approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,011Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor 24°C or 23°C as Tokyo’s minimum temperature on August 17 because the strengthened Pacific High continues to dominate, sustaining above-normal warmth with typical overnight lows near 24°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks and AccuWeather guidance align on this range for mid-August, where urban heat retention and light winds reduce radiative cooling while any increase in cloud cover or brief showers could nudge the minimum a degree lower. Traders weigh these factors against model spread in short-range forecasts, recognizing that small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture will decide between the two leading outcomes as the date approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,011Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds favor 24°C or 23°C as Tokyo’s minimum temperature on August 17 because the strengthened Pacific High continues to dominate, sustaining above-normal warmth with typical overnight lows near 24°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks and AccuWeather guidance align on this range for mid-August, where urban heat retention and light winds reduce radiative cooling while any increase in cloud cover or brief showers could nudge the minimum a degree lower. Traders weigh these factors against model spread in short-range forecasts, recognizing that small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture will decide between the two leading outcomes as the date approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti