Recent forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather point to Tokyo overnight lows near 23–24°C for August 16, driven by typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect retaining warmth overnight. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with steering patterns and any scattered showers keeping temperatures stable rather than allowing sharper drops. The tight split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact minimums tied to wind speeds, dew points, and minor forecast adjustments ahead of the resolution window, consistent with historical August baselines around 24°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 16 agosto?
23°C 53%
24°C 28%
22°C 13%
25°C 7%
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
53%
24°C
28%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C o superiore
1%
23°C 53%
24°C 28%
22°C 13%
25°C 7%
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
53%
24°C
28%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather point to Tokyo overnight lows near 23–24°C for August 16, driven by typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect retaining warmth overnight. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with steering patterns and any scattered showers keeping temperatures stable rather than allowing sharper drops. The tight split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact minimums tied to wind speeds, dew points, and minor forecast adjustments ahead of the resolution window, consistent with historical August baselines around 24°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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