Current forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models positions the lowest temperature in New York City on August 16 in the 70-73°F range, aligning with market-implied probabilities exceeding 70% combined. Typical mid-August radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity supports overnight lows near or slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological normal of about 70°F at Central Park, with urban heat retention and limited wind preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal cooling from possible showers or a weak frontal boundary, keeping probabilities concentrated in these bins while lower outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected clear, dry conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 16 agosto?
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 11%
74-75°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
63°F o inferiore
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 11%
74-75°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
63°F o inferiore
$5 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$83 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$86 Vol.
11%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
44%
72-73°F
$22 Vol.
31%
74-75°F
$319 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$219 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
82°F o superiore
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models positions the lowest temperature in New York City on August 16 in the 70-73°F range, aligning with market-implied probabilities exceeding 70% combined. Typical mid-August radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity supports overnight lows near or slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological normal of about 70°F at Central Park, with urban heat retention and limited wind preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal cooling from possible showers or a weak frontal boundary, keeping probabilities concentrated in these bins while lower outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected clear, dry conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$755Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models positions the lowest temperature in New York City on August 16 in the 70-73°F range, aligning with market-implied probabilities exceeding 70% combined. Typical mid-August radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity supports overnight lows near or slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological normal of about 70°F at Central Park, with urban heat retention and limited wind preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal cooling from possible showers or a weak frontal boundary, keeping probabilities concentrated in these bins while lower outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected clear, dry conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$755Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models positions the lowest temperature in New York City on August 16 in the 70-73°F range, aligning with market-implied probabilities exceeding 70% combined. Typical mid-August radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity supports overnight lows near or slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological normal of about 70°F at Central Park, with urban heat retention and limited wind preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal cooling from possible showers or a weak frontal boundary, keeping probabilities concentrated in these bins while lower outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected clear, dry conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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