Traders assign the highest probability to a 32°C peak in Karachi on August 18, reflecting the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather consensus for typical late-monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover from the Arabian Sea moisture surge, and potential light showers moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near the seasonal 31–33°C average rather than allowing stronger insolation. Recent PMD updates note mainly hot and humid weather with below-normal rainfall across Sindh, reducing the chance of significant cooling from heavy precipitation while limiting extreme heat. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability over the next 48 hours, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 32–33°C outcomes ahead of official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Karachi il 18 agosto?
32°C 50%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 6%
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
50%
33°C
28%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 6%
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
50%
33°C
28%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to a 32°C peak in Karachi on August 18, reflecting the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather consensus for typical late-monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover from the Arabian Sea moisture surge, and potential light showers moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near the seasonal 31–33°C average rather than allowing stronger insolation. Recent PMD updates note mainly hot and humid weather with below-normal rainfall across Sindh, reducing the chance of significant cooling from heavy precipitation while limiting extreme heat. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability over the next 48 hours, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 32–33°C outcomes ahead of official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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