Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF currently anchor trader sentiment for Paris’s August 18 maximum, with the tight clustering around 27–29 °C reflecting modest differences in projected cloud cover, Atlantic flow, and afternoon convective development. A cooldown following the mid-month heatwave has reduced peak solar heating, yet residual warmth and light winds keep the upper end of the distribution viable. Model spread remains the dominant uncertainty factor, as small shifts in timing of any isolated showers or boundary-layer mixing can alter the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France vigilance briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next clear signals for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 18 agosto?
27°C 42%
28°C 30%
29°C 23%
26°C 12%
25°C or below
6%
26°C
12%
27°C
32%
28°C
30%
29°C
23%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 30%
29°C 23%
26°C 12%
25°C or below
6%
26°C
12%
27°C
32%
28°C
30%
29°C
23%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF currently anchor trader sentiment for Paris’s August 18 maximum, with the tight clustering around 27–29 °C reflecting modest differences in projected cloud cover, Atlantic flow, and afternoon convective development. A cooldown following the mid-month heatwave has reduced peak solar heating, yet residual warmth and light winds keep the upper end of the distribution viable. Model spread remains the dominant uncertainty factor, as small shifts in timing of any isolated showers or boundary-layer mixing can alter the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France vigilance briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next clear signals for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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