Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Moscow's August 20 high will likely settle near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This positioning reflects seasonal August averages around 21–22°C tempered by persistent cloud cover and possible light precipitation that reduces daytime maxima, consistent with model consensus showing no strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification. Trader sentiment clusters on these central outcomes because short-range variability in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while extremes remain low-probability given stable mid-tropospheric patterns. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 20 agosto?
21°C 34%
20°C 33%
19°C 17%
22°C 16%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
17%
20°C
33%
21°C
34%
22°C
24%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 34%
20°C 33%
19°C 17%
22°C 16%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
17%
20°C
33%
21°C
34%
22°C
24%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Moscow's August 20 high will likely settle near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This positioning reflects seasonal August averages around 21–22°C tempered by persistent cloud cover and possible light precipitation that reduces daytime maxima, consistent with model consensus showing no strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification. Trader sentiment clusters on these central outcomes because short-range variability in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while extremes remain low-probability given stable mid-tropospheric patterns. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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