Recent forecast model runs from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 19 maximum near 19–21 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–19 °C reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. Light winds and overcast conditions expected midday would limit surface heating despite peak August insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation could push readings a degree higher. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is indicated, keeping extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C at low probabilities. Updated model guidance and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shift in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 19 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 19 agosto?
19°C 30%
18°C 28%
20°C 15%
17°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
14%
18°C
28%
19°C
30%
20°C
15%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 30%
18°C 28%
20°C 15%
17°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
16°C or below
$1,206 Vol.
4%
17°C
$322 Vol.
14%
18°C
$276 Vol.
28%
19°C
$653 Vol.
30%
20°C
$1,953 Vol.
15%
21°C
$63 Vol.
8%
22°C
$17 Vol.
2%
23°C
$110 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,354 Vol.
1%
25°C
$155 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$90 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 19 maximum near 19–21 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–19 °C reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. Light winds and overcast conditions expected midday would limit surface heating despite peak August insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation could push readings a degree higher. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is indicated, keeping extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C at low probabilities. Updated model guidance and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,199Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 19 maximum near 19–21 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–19 °C reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. Light winds and overcast conditions expected midday would limit surface heating despite peak August insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation could push readings a degree higher. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is indicated, keeping extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C at low probabilities. Updated model guidance and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,199Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 19 maximum near 19–21 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–19 °C reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. Light winds and overcast conditions expected midday would limit surface heating despite peak August insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation could push readings a degree higher. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is indicated, keeping extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C at low probabilities. Updated model guidance and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shift in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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