Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to a moderating trend for Chongqing's August 19 high, with daytime maxima most likely settling near 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit full solar heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. Late-summer climatology shows a gradual decline from mid-August peaks, as the subtropical high weakens and allows greater moisture influx, though localized heat retention from surrounding mountains can still produce brief spikes. Trader consensus around the 30–31°C outcomes reflects model agreement on this cooling signal while acknowledging spread in precipitation timing and intensity, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on convective development. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 19 agosto?
31°C 27%
30°C 24%
32°C 18%
29°C 13%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
24%
31°C
27%
32°C
18%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 27%
30°C 24%
32°C 18%
29°C 13%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
24%
31°C
27%
32°C
18%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to a moderating trend for Chongqing's August 19 high, with daytime maxima most likely settling near 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit full solar heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. Late-summer climatology shows a gradual decline from mid-August peaks, as the subtropical high weakens and allows greater moisture influx, though localized heat retention from surrounding mountains can still produce brief spikes. Trader consensus around the 30–31°C outcomes reflects model agreement on this cooling signal while acknowledging spread in precipitation timing and intensity, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on convective development. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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