Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, has suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and frequent showers, positioning 28–29°C as the leading implied probabilities for the August 17 maximum. Official PAGASA outlooks for the date project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain chance, while recent advisories emphasize monsoon-enhanced rainfall that historically caps highs 1–3°C below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. Model consensus favors limited solar insolation and elevated humidity, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher readings unless steering patterns shift and clear breaks develop. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from PAGASA stations will drive any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 17 agosto?
29°C 45%
28°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
30%
29°C
45%
30°C
15%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C o superiore
1%
29°C 45%
28°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$92 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$65 Vol.
1%
26°C
$319 Vol.
1%
27°C
$99 Vol.
5%
28°C
$113 Vol.
30%
29°C
$594 Vol.
45%
30°C
$43 Vol.
15%
31°C
$119 Vol.
4%
32°C
$175 Vol.
2%
33°C o superiore
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, has suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and frequent showers, positioning 28–29°C as the leading implied probabilities for the August 17 maximum. Official PAGASA outlooks for the date project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain chance, while recent advisories emphasize monsoon-enhanced rainfall that historically caps highs 1–3°C below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. Model consensus favors limited solar insolation and elevated humidity, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher readings unless steering patterns shift and clear breaks develop. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from PAGASA stations will drive any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$1,681Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, has suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and frequent showers, positioning 28–29°C as the leading implied probabilities for the August 17 maximum. Official PAGASA outlooks for the date project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain chance, while recent advisories emphasize monsoon-enhanced rainfall that historically caps highs 1–3°C below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. Model consensus favors limited solar insolation and elevated humidity, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher readings unless steering patterns shift and clear breaks develop. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from PAGASA stations will drive any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,681Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, has suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and frequent showers, positioning 28–29°C as the leading implied probabilities for the August 17 maximum. Official PAGASA outlooks for the date project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain chance, while recent advisories emphasize monsoon-enhanced rainfall that historically caps highs 1–3°C below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. Model consensus favors limited solar insolation and elevated humidity, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher readings unless steering patterns shift and clear breaks develop. Updated forecasts and real-time observations from PAGASA stations will drive any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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