Recent forecast models from agencies including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 28–29 °C for Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly winds. Market-implied probabilities nevertheless cluster on 26–27 °C (combined >80 %), consistent with the city’s typical mid-August climatology where the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara exert a moderating marine influence that often caps official station maxima below broader regional model guidance. Recent cooling after earlier heat episodes and model spread around wind speed and cloud cover further support this narrower range, while the low odds on 28 °C or above reflect limited upside from current steering patterns and the 30-day historical distribution of daily maxima centered near 27–28 °C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service observations expected overnight will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 17 agosto?
26°C 54%
27°C 30%
25°C 9%
28°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
54%
27°C
30%
28°C
8%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
4%
26°C 54%
27°C 30%
25°C 9%
28°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
21°C or below
$214 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$44 Vol.
1%
23°C
$38 Vol.
1%
24°C
$45 Vol.
3%
25°C
$24 Vol.
9%
26°C
$177 Vol.
54%
27°C
$142 Vol.
30%
28°C
$114 Vol.
8%
29°C
$108 Vol.
6%
30°C
$295 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$15 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 28–29 °C for Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly winds. Market-implied probabilities nevertheless cluster on 26–27 °C (combined >80 %), consistent with the city’s typical mid-August climatology where the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara exert a moderating marine influence that often caps official station maxima below broader regional model guidance. Recent cooling after earlier heat episodes and model spread around wind speed and cloud cover further support this narrower range, while the low odds on 28 °C or above reflect limited upside from current steering patterns and the 30-day historical distribution of daily maxima centered near 27–28 °C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service observations expected overnight will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,216Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 28–29 °C for Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly winds. Market-implied probabilities nevertheless cluster on 26–27 °C (combined >80 %), consistent with the city’s typical mid-August climatology where the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara exert a moderating marine influence that often caps official station maxima below broader regional model guidance. Recent cooling after earlier heat episodes and model spread around wind speed and cloud cover further support this narrower range, while the low odds on 28 °C or above reflect limited upside from current steering patterns and the 30-day historical distribution of daily maxima centered near 27–28 °C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service observations expected overnight will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,216Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 28–29 °C for Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly winds. Market-implied probabilities nevertheless cluster on 26–27 °C (combined >80 %), consistent with the city’s typical mid-August climatology where the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara exert a moderating marine influence that often caps official station maxima below broader regional model guidance. Recent cooling after earlier heat episodes and model spread around wind speed and cloud cover further support this narrower range, while the low odds on 28 °C or above reflect limited upside from current steering patterns and the 30-day historical distribution of daily maxima centered near 27–28 °C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service observations expected overnight will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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