Latest meteorological forecasts for Wuhan on August 17 project a daily maximum of 33–34°C, with BBC and timeanddate.com models citing thundery showers, moderate northeast winds, and cloud cover that should cap intensification. This aligns with the subtropical monsoon regime’s mid-August climatology, where average highs hover near 32–33°C amid high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that frequently suppresses peaks above 35°C. Recent model consensus has held steady without signals of a heat surge, concentrating trader-implied probability on the 33°C (31.5%) and 34°C (42.5%) bins while discounting extremes. Updated runs tomorrow morning from regional agencies will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 17 agosto?
34°C 43%
33°C 32%
35°C 12%
32°C 10%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
32%
34°C
43%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 43%
33°C 32%
35°C 12%
32°C 10%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
32%
34°C
43%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts for Wuhan on August 17 project a daily maximum of 33–34°C, with BBC and timeanddate.com models citing thundery showers, moderate northeast winds, and cloud cover that should cap intensification. This aligns with the subtropical monsoon regime’s mid-August climatology, where average highs hover near 32–33°C amid high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that frequently suppresses peaks above 35°C. Recent model consensus has held steady without signals of a heat surge, concentrating trader-implied probability on the 33°C (31.5%) and 34°C (42.5%) bins while discounting extremes. Updated runs tomorrow morning from regional agencies will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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