Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 17 point to a high near 101–103°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds and modest moisture, driving the market's leading 29% implied probability on 102–103°F. A strong upper-level ridge has sustained above-normal temperatures across central Texas this week, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate daytime heating. Historical August averages near 95–97°F provide baseline context, yet the current pattern favors continued warmth absent a stronger cold front or tropical moisture influx. Traders weigh slight model spread on peak readings and afternoon convective timing, with final National Weather Service observations determining resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 17 agosto?
100-101°F 38%
102-103°F 36%
104-105°F 14%
106-107°F 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
93°F o meno
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
36%
104-105°F
14%
106-107°F
13%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
4%
112°F o superiore
2%
100-101°F 38%
102-103°F 36%
104-105°F 14%
106-107°F 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
93°F o meno
$5 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$2 Vol.
10%
100-101°F
$21 Vol.
38%
102-103°F
$22 Vol.
36%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
14%
106-107°F
$54 Vol.
13%
108-109°F
$48 Vol.
3%
110-111°F
$0 Vol.
4%
112°F o superiore
$33 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 17 point to a high near 101–103°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds and modest moisture, driving the market's leading 29% implied probability on 102–103°F. A strong upper-level ridge has sustained above-normal temperatures across central Texas this week, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate daytime heating. Historical August averages near 95–97°F provide baseline context, yet the current pattern favors continued warmth absent a stronger cold front or tropical moisture influx. Traders weigh slight model spread on peak readings and afternoon convective timing, with final National Weather Service observations determining resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$190Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 17 point to a high near 101–103°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds and modest moisture, driving the market's leading 29% implied probability on 102–103°F. A strong upper-level ridge has sustained above-normal temperatures across central Texas this week, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate daytime heating. Historical August averages near 95–97°F provide baseline context, yet the current pattern favors continued warmth absent a stronger cold front or tropical moisture influx. Traders weigh slight model spread on peak readings and afternoon convective timing, with final National Weather Service observations determining resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$190Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 17 point to a high near 101–103°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds and modest moisture, driving the market's leading 29% implied probability on 102–103°F. A strong upper-level ridge has sustained above-normal temperatures across central Texas this week, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate daytime heating. Historical August averages near 95–97°F provide baseline context, yet the current pattern favors continued warmth absent a stronger cold front or tropical moisture influx. Traders weigh slight model spread on peak readings and afternoon convective timing, with final National Weather Service observations determining resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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