Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami on August 17 near 79–81°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points near 76–78°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent reductions in daytime cloud cover and rainfall have sustained warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August norms show average lows of 78–80°F, but current conditions reflect a broader regional heat pattern with minimal cold-air advection. Traders weigh potential model adjustments from updated runs against typical sea-breeze moderation and any late-day convection that could slightly enhance cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Miami il 17 agosto?
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 18%
72-73°F 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
69°F o inferiore
1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88°F o superiore
1%
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 18%
72-73°F 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
69°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
18%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$16 Vol.
40%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
7%
88°F o superiore
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami on August 17 near 79–81°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points near 76–78°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent reductions in daytime cloud cover and rainfall have sustained warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August norms show average lows of 78–80°F, but current conditions reflect a broader regional heat pattern with minimal cold-air advection. Traders weigh potential model adjustments from updated runs against typical sea-breeze moderation and any late-day convection that could slightly enhance cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$21Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami on August 17 near 79–81°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points near 76–78°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent reductions in daytime cloud cover and rainfall have sustained warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August norms show average lows of 78–80°F, but current conditions reflect a broader regional heat pattern with minimal cold-air advection. Traders weigh potential model adjustments from updated runs against typical sea-breeze moderation and any late-day convection that could slightly enhance cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami on August 17 near 79–81°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points near 76–78°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent reductions in daytime cloud cover and rainfall have sustained warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August norms show average lows of 78–80°F, but current conditions reflect a broader regional heat pattern with minimal cold-air advection. Traders weigh potential model adjustments from updated runs against typical sea-breeze moderation and any late-day convection that could slightly enhance cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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