Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover in a typical late-winter setup. This places the highest probability on 29–31°C outcomes, with tight spreads reflecting minor ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official measurement sites. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme advection. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and any overnight updates from Brazilian agencies, as small shifts in dewpoint or wind could tip the peak across the narrow resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di San Paolo il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di San Paolo il 17 agosto?
30°C 30%
31°C 29%
29°C 28%
32°C or higher 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
28%
30°C
30%
31°C
29%
32°C or higher
7%
30°C 30%
31°C 29%
29°C 28%
32°C or higher 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
22°C or below
$1 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
5%
29°C
$133 Vol.
28%
30°C
$16 Vol.
30%
31°C
$188 Vol.
29%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover in a typical late-winter setup. This places the highest probability on 29–31°C outcomes, with tight spreads reflecting minor ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official measurement sites. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme advection. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and any overnight updates from Brazilian agencies, as small shifts in dewpoint or wind could tip the peak across the narrow resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$353Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover in a typical late-winter setup. This places the highest probability on 29–31°C outcomes, with tight spreads reflecting minor ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official measurement sites. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme advection. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and any overnight updates from Brazilian agencies, as small shifts in dewpoint or wind could tip the peak across the narrow resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$353Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover in a typical late-winter setup. This places the highest probability on 29–31°C outcomes, with tight spreads reflecting minor ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official measurement sites. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme advection. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and any overnight updates from Brazilian agencies, as small shifts in dewpoint or wind could tip the peak across the narrow resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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