Recent short-range model consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles places Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit daytime heating. Narrow ensemble spread keeps most guidance between 23–26°C, reflecting stable steering patterns and modest moisture that suppress stronger warming or cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology of 20–23°C average highs while accounting for current conditions that nudge probabilities toward the upper end of the typical range. Trader-implied odds, led by 24°C at 47% followed by 23°C and 25°C, mirror this tight forecast distribution ahead of final observational data on August 17.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 17 agosto?
24°C 48%
23°C 17%
25°C 16%
21°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
19°C or below
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
17%
24°C
48%
25°C
16%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
3%
24°C 48%
23°C 17%
25°C 16%
21°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
19°C or below
$10 Vol.
5%
20°C
$20 Vol.
4%
21°C
$20 Vol.
8%
22°C
$127 Vol.
7%
23°C
$244 Vol.
17%
24°C
$115 Vol.
48%
25°C
$30 Vol.
16%
26°C
$125 Vol.
7%
27°C
$126 Vol.
3%
28°C
$88 Vol.
4%
29°C or higher
$15 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles places Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit daytime heating. Narrow ensemble spread keeps most guidance between 23–26°C, reflecting stable steering patterns and modest moisture that suppress stronger warming or cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology of 20–23°C average highs while accounting for current conditions that nudge probabilities toward the upper end of the typical range. Trader-implied odds, led by 24°C at 47% followed by 23°C and 25°C, mirror this tight forecast distribution ahead of final observational data on August 17.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$920Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles places Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit daytime heating. Narrow ensemble spread keeps most guidance between 23–26°C, reflecting stable steering patterns and modest moisture that suppress stronger warming or cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology of 20–23°C average highs while accounting for current conditions that nudge probabilities toward the upper end of the typical range. Trader-implied odds, led by 24°C at 47% followed by 23°C and 25°C, mirror this tight forecast distribution ahead of final observational data on August 17.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$920Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles places Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit daytime heating. Narrow ensemble spread keeps most guidance between 23–26°C, reflecting stable steering patterns and modest moisture that suppress stronger warming or cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology of 20–23°C average highs while accounting for current conditions that nudge probabilities toward the upper end of the typical range. Trader-implied odds, led by 24°C at 47% followed by 23°C and 25°C, mirror this tight forecast distribution ahead of final observational data on August 17.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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