Recent Hong Kong Observatory and international model consensus forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 32–33°C on August 17 amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with 65–95% probability of showers or thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit solar heating. These dynamics align with the market’s tight clustering around 32–34°C outcomes, as afternoon convection and high humidity (often exceeding 80%) reduce the potential for stronger surface heating compared to the clear-sky extreme of 36.8°C recorded earlier in August. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides broader context, while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station; updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing represent the next key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 agosto?
33°C 39%
32°C 31%
34°C 19%
31°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
31%
33°C
39%
34°C
19%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 31%
34°C 19%
31°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
28°C or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$408 Vol.
2%
31°C
$87 Vol.
8%
32°C
$172 Vol.
31%
33°C
$189 Vol.
39%
34°C
$457 Vol.
19%
35°C
$95 Vol.
3%
36°C
$261 Vol.
3%
37°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$109 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and international model consensus forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 32–33°C on August 17 amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with 65–95% probability of showers or thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit solar heating. These dynamics align with the market’s tight clustering around 32–34°C outcomes, as afternoon convection and high humidity (often exceeding 80%) reduce the potential for stronger surface heating compared to the clear-sky extreme of 36.8°C recorded earlier in August. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides broader context, while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station; updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$2,100Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and international model consensus forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 32–33°C on August 17 amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with 65–95% probability of showers or thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit solar heating. These dynamics align with the market’s tight clustering around 32–34°C outcomes, as afternoon convection and high humidity (often exceeding 80%) reduce the potential for stronger surface heating compared to the clear-sky extreme of 36.8°C recorded earlier in August. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides broader context, while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station; updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,100Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory and international model consensus forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 32–33°C on August 17 amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with 65–95% probability of showers or thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit solar heating. These dynamics align with the market’s tight clustering around 32–34°C outcomes, as afternoon convection and high humidity (often exceeding 80%) reduce the potential for stronger surface heating compared to the clear-sky extreme of 36.8°C recorded earlier in August. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides broader context, while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station; updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing represent the next key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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