Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 19 likely between 21°C and 22°C, driving the closely matched market odds at 40% and 44.5%. Northwesterly winds and lingering Atlantic moisture are expected to limit peak heating, with possible morning clouds or light showers reducing solar radiation and keeping readings from climbing higher. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns in the region, where daily highs average around 21°C. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover or wind timing explain the tight split between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain low due to limited cooling signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours could refine this consensus ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 19 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 19 agosto?
21°C 43%
22°C 37%
20°C 14%
23°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
14%
21°C
43%
22°C
37%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 37%
20°C 14%
23°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
16°C o inferiore
$80 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$74 Vol.
1%
19°C
$250 Vol.
5%
20°C
$147 Vol.
14%
21°C
$366 Vol.
43%
22°C
$968 Vol.
37%
23°C
$129 Vol.
7%
24°C
$113 Vol.
1%
25°C
$80 Vol.
1%
26°C o superiore
$54 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 19 likely between 21°C and 22°C, driving the closely matched market odds at 40% and 44.5%. Northwesterly winds and lingering Atlantic moisture are expected to limit peak heating, with possible morning clouds or light showers reducing solar radiation and keeping readings from climbing higher. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns in the region, where daily highs average around 21°C. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover or wind timing explain the tight split between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain low due to limited cooling signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours could refine this consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,341Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 19 likely between 21°C and 22°C, driving the closely matched market odds at 40% and 44.5%. Northwesterly winds and lingering Atlantic moisture are expected to limit peak heating, with possible morning clouds or light showers reducing solar radiation and keeping readings from climbing higher. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns in the region, where daily highs average around 21°C. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover or wind timing explain the tight split between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain low due to limited cooling signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours could refine this consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,341Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 19 likely between 21°C and 22°C, driving the closely matched market odds at 40% and 44.5%. Northwesterly winds and lingering Atlantic moisture are expected to limit peak heating, with possible morning clouds or light showers reducing solar radiation and keeping readings from climbing higher. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns in the region, where daily highs average around 21°C. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover or wind timing explain the tight split between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain low due to limited cooling signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours could refine this consensus ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti