Recent short-range forecasts from models referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 23–24°C in Paris on August 19, following mid-August heat that peaked at 36–38°C before a moderating trend. This positions 23°C as the market leader because ensemble guidance shows stable high pressure, light winds, and increased cloud cover limiting peak solar heating while preventing rapid cooling. The close spread between 23°C and 24°C reflects typical model spread in temperature predictions under transitional synoptic patterns, with resolution hinging on exact afternoon observations from official stations. Traders monitor updated runs from Météo-France and NOAA for any shifts in the thermal ridge or moisture advection ahead of the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 19 agosto?
23°C 40%
24°C 25%
25°C 14%
22°C 9%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
40%
24°C
25%
25°C
14%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 25%
25°C 14%
22°C 9%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
40%
24°C
25%
25°C
14%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 23–24°C in Paris on August 19, following mid-August heat that peaked at 36–38°C before a moderating trend. This positions 23°C as the market leader because ensemble guidance shows stable high pressure, light winds, and increased cloud cover limiting peak solar heating while preventing rapid cooling. The close spread between 23°C and 24°C reflects typical model spread in temperature predictions under transitional synoptic patterns, with resolution hinging on exact afternoon observations from official stations. Traders monitor updated runs from Météo-France and NOAA for any shifts in the thermal ridge or moisture advection ahead of the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti