Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where average highs reach 21–22°C. Model consensus supports a narrow range around 20–22°C under typical North Sea-influenced conditions with moderate westerly flow and limited diurnal warming. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on these outcomes because short-range ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of significant deviations from seasonal norms, though minor adjustments remain possible with updated runs closer to the date. Historical data confirm such temperatures as typical rather than extreme for mid-August.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 20 agosto?
21°C 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 21%
23°C 8%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
21%
21°C
42%
22°C
20%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 21%
23°C 8%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
21%
21°C
42%
22°C
20%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where average highs reach 21–22°C. Model consensus supports a narrow range around 20–22°C under typical North Sea-influenced conditions with moderate westerly flow and limited diurnal warming. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on these outcomes because short-range ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of significant deviations from seasonal norms, though minor adjustments remain possible with updated runs closer to the date. Historical data confirm such temperatures as typical rather than extreme for mid-August.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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