Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on 18 August in the 24–26 °C range under partly cloudy conditions, with limited model spread and modest daytime heating beneath a weak ridge. This distribution underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24 °C (25.5 %), 25 °C (30.0 %), and 26 °C (23.0 %). Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any Atlantic frontal approach, boundary-layer cloud cover, and local urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 18 agosto?
25°C 30%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 12%
NUOVO
$12,476 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,476 Vol.
18 ago 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
12%
24°C
26%
25°C
30%
26°C
20%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 12%
NUOVO
$12,476 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,476 Vol.
18 ago 2026
22°C or below
$542 Vol.
6%
23°C
$632 Vol.
12%
24°C
$1,715 Vol.
26%
25°C
$3,478 Vol.
30%
26°C
$2,104 Vol.
20%
27°C
$718 Vol.
9%
28°C
$293 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1,339 Vol.
1%
30°C
$552 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$552 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$552 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on 18 August in the 24–26 °C range under partly cloudy conditions, with limited model spread and modest daytime heating beneath a weak ridge. This distribution underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24 °C (25.5 %), 25 °C (30.0 %), and 26 °C (23.0 %). Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any Atlantic frontal approach, boundary-layer cloud cover, and local urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$12,476Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on 18 August in the 24–26 °C range under partly cloudy conditions, with limited model spread and modest daytime heating beneath a weak ridge. This distribution underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24 °C (25.5 %), 25 °C (30.0 %), and 26 °C (23.0 %). Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any Atlantic frontal approach, boundary-layer cloud cover, and local urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,476Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on 18 August in the 24–26 °C range under partly cloudy conditions, with limited model spread and modest daytime heating beneath a weak ridge. This distribution underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24 °C (25.5 %), 25 °C (30.0 %), and 26 °C (23.0 %). Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any Atlantic frontal approach, boundary-layer cloud cover, and local urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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