Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, the UK Met Office, and European models indicate Moscow daytime highs near 22–24°C on August 22, aligning closely with long-term August climatology of 22°C. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure patterns and moderate Atlantic air advection rather than heatwave conditions. Short-range model runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with only minor adjustments expected from updated observations or convective activity. Traders weigh these data against historical extremes, noting that sustained deviations above 26°C or below 20°C remain uncommon this late in the season. Final resolution will hinge on official Russian meteorological service readings once the calendar day concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 22 agosto?
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
24°C 25%
19°C 24%
17°C or below
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
24%
20°C
7%
21°C
7%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C or higher
23%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
24°C 25%
19°C 24%
17°C or below
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
24%
20°C
7%
21°C
7%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, the UK Met Office, and European models indicate Moscow daytime highs near 22–24°C on August 22, aligning closely with long-term August climatology of 22°C. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure patterns and moderate Atlantic air advection rather than heatwave conditions. Short-range model runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with only minor adjustments expected from updated observations or convective activity. Traders weigh these data against historical extremes, noting that sustained deviations above 26°C or below 20°C remain uncommon this late in the season. Final resolution will hinge on official Russian meteorological service readings once the calendar day concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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