Current Hong Kong Observatory and model forecasts point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 20, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the 40% and 28.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and light easterly winds maintain overnight warmth typical of the subtropical summer regime. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming trends, with historical August minima averaging around 27°C. Limited model spread and absence of disruptive systems like typhoons or strong cold fronts reinforce trader consensus on these values, with resolution hinging on final observatory observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 20 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 20 agosto?
27°C 41%
28°C 29%
26°C 14%
29°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
14%
27°C
40%
28°C
29%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 29%
26°C 14%
29°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$84 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$194 Vol.
1%
25°C
$62 Vol.
3%
26°C
$424 Vol.
14%
27°C
$190 Vol.
40%
28°C
$248 Vol.
29%
29°C
$265 Vol.
4%
30°C
$370 Vol.
2%
31°C
$84 Vol.
1%
32°C o superiore
$747 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory and model forecasts point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 20, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the 40% and 28.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and light easterly winds maintain overnight warmth typical of the subtropical summer regime. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming trends, with historical August minima averaging around 27°C. Limited model spread and absence of disruptive systems like typhoons or strong cold fronts reinforce trader consensus on these values, with resolution hinging on final observatory observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,788Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory and model forecasts point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 20, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the 40% and 28.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and light easterly winds maintain overnight warmth typical of the subtropical summer regime. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming trends, with historical August minima averaging around 27°C. Limited model spread and absence of disruptive systems like typhoons or strong cold fronts reinforce trader consensus on these values, with resolution hinging on final observatory observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,788Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Hong Kong Observatory and model forecasts point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 20, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the 40% and 28.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and light easterly winds maintain overnight warmth typical of the subtropical summer regime. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming trends, with historical August minima averaging around 27°C. Limited model spread and absence of disruptive systems like typhoons or strong cold fronts reinforce trader consensus on these values, with resolution hinging on final observatory observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti