Trader consensus clusters tightly between 78-79°F and 80-81°F because ensemble forecasts show comparable odds that a moderate marine layer will limit daytime heating tomorrow versus modest strengthening of high pressure aloft allowing slightly warmer conditions. Onshore flow and the depth of the cool, moist boundary layer—driven by the temperature contrast between the Pacific and overlying air—remain the dominant variables, with stronger flow promoting earlier stratus and sea-breeze cooling that caps highs near the lower end of the range. Historical mid-August averages near 84°F provide context, yet coastal urban sites frequently run several degrees cooler when the inversion persists; subtle differences in National Weather Service model runs on inversion strength and clearance timing explain why neither bin exceeds 40% implied probability. Updated guidance later today could shift the balance if offshore flow strengthens or the marine layer thins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 18 agosto?
78-79°F 51%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 17%
82-83°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
71°F o meno
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o superiore
<1%
78-79°F 51%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 17%
82-83°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
71°F o meno
$207 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$117 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$203 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$448 Vol.
17%
78-79°F
$935 Vol.
51%
80-81°F
$919 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$206 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$37 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$50 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$174 Vol.
1%
90°F o superiore
$320 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly between 78-79°F and 80-81°F because ensemble forecasts show comparable odds that a moderate marine layer will limit daytime heating tomorrow versus modest strengthening of high pressure aloft allowing slightly warmer conditions. Onshore flow and the depth of the cool, moist boundary layer—driven by the temperature contrast between the Pacific and overlying air—remain the dominant variables, with stronger flow promoting earlier stratus and sea-breeze cooling that caps highs near the lower end of the range. Historical mid-August averages near 84°F provide context, yet coastal urban sites frequently run several degrees cooler when the inversion persists; subtle differences in National Weather Service model runs on inversion strength and clearance timing explain why neither bin exceeds 40% implied probability. Updated guidance later today could shift the balance if offshore flow strengthens or the marine layer thins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$3,615Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly between 78-79°F and 80-81°F because ensemble forecasts show comparable odds that a moderate marine layer will limit daytime heating tomorrow versus modest strengthening of high pressure aloft allowing slightly warmer conditions. Onshore flow and the depth of the cool, moist boundary layer—driven by the temperature contrast between the Pacific and overlying air—remain the dominant variables, with stronger flow promoting earlier stratus and sea-breeze cooling that caps highs near the lower end of the range. Historical mid-August averages near 84°F provide context, yet coastal urban sites frequently run several degrees cooler when the inversion persists; subtle differences in National Weather Service model runs on inversion strength and clearance timing explain why neither bin exceeds 40% implied probability. Updated guidance later today could shift the balance if offshore flow strengthens or the marine layer thins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,615Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly between 78-79°F and 80-81°F because ensemble forecasts show comparable odds that a moderate marine layer will limit daytime heating tomorrow versus modest strengthening of high pressure aloft allowing slightly warmer conditions. Onshore flow and the depth of the cool, moist boundary layer—driven by the temperature contrast between the Pacific and overlying air—remain the dominant variables, with stronger flow promoting earlier stratus and sea-breeze cooling that caps highs near the lower end of the range. Historical mid-August averages near 84°F provide context, yet coastal urban sites frequently run several degrees cooler when the inversion persists; subtle differences in National Weather Service model runs on inversion strength and clearance timing explain why neither bin exceeds 40% implied probability. Updated guidance later today could shift the balance if offshore flow strengthens or the marine layer thins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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