Persistent marine layer clouds and fog over coastal Los Angeles continue to suppress daytime heating on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts for a high near 77°F at Los Angeles International Airport under light west-southwest winds. This typical summer pattern, reinforced by recent overcast conditions and gradual afternoon clearing, positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 61% implied probability while capping upside potential for 78-79°F at 31%. Historical August averages near 84°F underscore the cooling effect of the stratus layer, with official observations and model consensus confirming limited solar insolation as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 16 agosto?
76-77°F 61%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
67°F o inferiore
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
61%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 61%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
67°F o inferiore
$107 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$223 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$201 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$342 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$687 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$1,103 Vol.
61%
78-79°F
$1,438 Vol.
31%
80-81°F
$169 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$147 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$649 Vol.
<1%
86°F o superiore
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer clouds and fog over coastal Los Angeles continue to suppress daytime heating on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts for a high near 77°F at Los Angeles International Airport under light west-southwest winds. This typical summer pattern, reinforced by recent overcast conditions and gradual afternoon clearing, positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 61% implied probability while capping upside potential for 78-79°F at 31%. Historical August averages near 84°F underscore the cooling effect of the stratus layer, with official observations and model consensus confirming limited solar insolation as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,371Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer clouds and fog over coastal Los Angeles continue to suppress daytime heating on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts for a high near 77°F at Los Angeles International Airport under light west-southwest winds. This typical summer pattern, reinforced by recent overcast conditions and gradual afternoon clearing, positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 61% implied probability while capping upside potential for 78-79°F at 31%. Historical August averages near 84°F underscore the cooling effect of the stratus layer, with official observations and model consensus confirming limited solar insolation as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,371Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer clouds and fog over coastal Los Angeles continue to suppress daytime heating on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts for a high near 77°F at Los Angeles International Airport under light west-southwest winds. This typical summer pattern, reinforced by recent overcast conditions and gradual afternoon clearing, positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 61% implied probability while capping upside potential for 78-79°F at 31%. Historical August averages near 84°F underscore the cooling effect of the stratus layer, with official observations and model consensus confirming limited solar insolation as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti