Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 20, driven by elevated dew points near 70°F, light southwest winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on minimal cooling in a humid late-summer airmass. Historical Central Park averages for the date are near 68°F, but the current pattern—warmer-than-normal monthly guidance and persistent southerly flow—supports the upward shift. Key variables that could differentiate outcomes within the 70–75°F range include the precise timing of any showers, wind shifts, or cloud-cover changes, with updated model runs and official forecasts expected to refine these thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 20 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 20 agosto?
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 37%
74-75°F 28%
78-79°F 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
61°F o inferiore
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
11%
80°F o superiore
2%
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 37%
74-75°F 28%
78-79°F 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
61°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$5 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$20 Vol.
11%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
37%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
44%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
28%
76-77°F
$20 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
11%
80°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 20, driven by elevated dew points near 70°F, light southwest winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on minimal cooling in a humid late-summer airmass. Historical Central Park averages for the date are near 68°F, but the current pattern—warmer-than-normal monthly guidance and persistent southerly flow—supports the upward shift. Key variables that could differentiate outcomes within the 70–75°F range include the precise timing of any showers, wind shifts, or cloud-cover changes, with updated model runs and official forecasts expected to refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$55Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 20, driven by elevated dew points near 70°F, light southwest winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on minimal cooling in a humid late-summer airmass. Historical Central Park averages for the date are near 68°F, but the current pattern—warmer-than-normal monthly guidance and persistent southerly flow—supports the upward shift. Key variables that could differentiate outcomes within the 70–75°F range include the precise timing of any showers, wind shifts, or cloud-cover changes, with updated model runs and official forecasts expected to refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 20, driven by elevated dew points near 70°F, light southwest winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on minimal cooling in a humid late-summer airmass. Historical Central Park averages for the date are near 68°F, but the current pattern—warmer-than-normal monthly guidance and persistent southerly flow—supports the upward shift. Key variables that could differentiate outcomes within the 70–75°F range include the precise timing of any showers, wind shifts, or cloud-cover changes, with updated model runs and official forecasts expected to refine these thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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