**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 20, 2026, centers on 18–19°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting model consensus for a mild winter day with limited warming potential.** Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and international models indicate a daytime high near 17–18°C (roughly 63–65°F), driven by moderate solar insolation in late winter, variable cloud cover, and light winds that neither strongly advect warmer subtropical air nor allow rapid radiational cooling. Recent days have featured highs of 13–17°C amid typical August conditions, with no major warm-air intrusions or blocking highs to push readings notably higher. The narrow spread between 18°C (30%) and 19°C (35.5%) arises from small uncertainties in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering patterns—factors that can shift the peak by 1°C in ensemble runs. A 20°C outcome (14%) remains possible only with stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently projected, while cooler results align with increased southerly influence or persistent low cloud. Official resolution will depend on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station reading, with traders weighting the latest model guidance and any updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 20 agosto?
19°C 36%
18°C 34%
20°C 14%
17°C 12%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
12%
18°C
34%
19°C
36%
20°C
14%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 36%
18°C 34%
20°C 14%
17°C 12%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
12%
18°C
34%
19°C
36%
20°C
14%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 20, 2026, centers on 18–19°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting model consensus for a mild winter day with limited warming potential.** Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and international models indicate a daytime high near 17–18°C (roughly 63–65°F), driven by moderate solar insolation in late winter, variable cloud cover, and light winds that neither strongly advect warmer subtropical air nor allow rapid radiational cooling. Recent days have featured highs of 13–17°C amid typical August conditions, with no major warm-air intrusions or blocking highs to push readings notably higher. The narrow spread between 18°C (30%) and 19°C (35.5%) arises from small uncertainties in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering patterns—factors that can shift the peak by 1°C in ensemble runs. A 20°C outcome (14%) remains possible only with stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently projected, while cooler results align with increased southerly influence or persistent low cloud. Official resolution will depend on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station reading, with traders weighting the latest model guidance and any updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti