Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show high uncertainty in Busan’s August 21 maximum, with clusters around 31–33°C driven by variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and coastal sea-breeze timing that can suppress or enhance daytime heating by 1–2°C. A strengthening El Niño episode, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C, supports above-climatological warmth across the region, while historical August averages near 30°C provide the baseline. Traders’ near-even split between 32°C and 33°C reflects these narrow margins and the potential for late-day convective cooling or clearer skies to shift the outcome before official observations finalize resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Busan il 21 agosto?
32°C 29%
33°C 28%
31°C 17%
34°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
17%
32°C
29%
33°C
28%
34°C
12%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 29%
33°C 28%
31°C 17%
34°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
17%
32°C
29%
33°C
28%
34°C
12%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show high uncertainty in Busan’s August 21 maximum, with clusters around 31–33°C driven by variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and coastal sea-breeze timing that can suppress or enhance daytime heating by 1–2°C. A strengthening El Niño episode, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C, supports above-climatological warmth across the region, while historical August averages near 30°C provide the baseline. Traders’ near-even split between 32°C and 33°C reflects these narrow margins and the potential for late-day convective cooling or clearer skies to shift the outcome before official observations finalize resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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