Short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to a Beijing high of 31–33°C on August 21, aligning with late-summer climatological normals near 30–31°C under moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms—common this time of year—limit peak solar insolation and create the narrow spread among 32–34°C outcomes in the market. Ensemble guidance shows minor differences in convective timing that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while recent observational trends confirm no strong heatwave signals and reinforce the tight clustering around these central values.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Pechino il 21 agosto?
33°C 27%
34°C 27%
32°C 25%
31°C 17%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
17%
32°C
25%
33°C
27%
34°C
27%
35°C
12%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
3%
33°C 27%
34°C 27%
32°C 25%
31°C 17%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
17%
32°C
25%
33°C
27%
34°C
27%
35°C
12%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to a Beijing high of 31–33°C on August 21, aligning with late-summer climatological normals near 30–31°C under moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms—common this time of year—limit peak solar insolation and create the narrow spread among 32–34°C outcomes in the market. Ensemble guidance shows minor differences in convective timing that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while recent observational trends confirm no strong heatwave signals and reinforce the tight clustering around these central values.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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