Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 21 likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on variables such as North Sea air mass advection, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and local urban heat effects, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. With August climatology centering near 21°C and no strong high-pressure dominance evident, traders price in model spread and short-term variability rather than a single consensus value. Updated runs over the next 48 hours could refine these odds as resolution nears.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 21 agosto?
19°C 30%
20°C 27%
21°C 18%
22°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
8%
19°C
30%
20°C
27%
21°C
18%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
1%
19°C 30%
20°C 27%
21°C 18%
22°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
15°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$73 Vol.
1%
17°C
$5 Vol.
9%
18°C
$10 Vol.
8%
19°C
$52 Vol.
30%
20°C
$178 Vol.
27%
21°C
$10 Vol.
18%
22°C
$15 Vol.
10%
23°C
$5 Vol.
9%
24°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
25°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 21 likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on variables such as North Sea air mass advection, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and local urban heat effects, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. With August climatology centering near 21°C and no strong high-pressure dominance evident, traders price in model spread and short-term variability rather than a single consensus value. Updated runs over the next 48 hours could refine these odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$377Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 21 likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on variables such as North Sea air mass advection, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and local urban heat effects, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. With August climatology centering near 21°C and no strong high-pressure dominance evident, traders price in model spread and short-term variability rather than a single consensus value. Updated runs over the next 48 hours could refine these odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$377Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 21 likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on variables such as North Sea air mass advection, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and local urban heat effects, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. With August climatology centering near 21°C and no strong high-pressure dominance evident, traders price in model spread and short-term variability rather than a single consensus value. Updated runs over the next 48 hours could refine these odds as resolution nears.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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