Recent model consensus from sources like AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid's August 22 maximum temperature near 32–34°C under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, driving the tight market split between 33°C and 34°C. Small differences in peak-hour timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily high across that threshold, while ensemble spreads reflect remaining uncertainty in subsidence strength and any late-day cloud development. A cooling trend from mid-August peaks above 35°C supports the lower probabilities for 35°C or higher, with official guidance expected to refine further in the next 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 22 agosto?
34°C 46%
33°C 41%
32°C 8%
35°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
41%
34°C
46%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
33°C 41%
32°C 8%
35°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
29°C or below
$217 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$80 Vol.
2%
32°C
$63 Vol.
8%
33°C
$170 Vol.
41%
34°C
$242 Vol.
46%
35°C
$112 Vol.
7%
36°C
$20 Vol.
3%
37°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$709 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid's August 22 maximum temperature near 32–34°C under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, driving the tight market split between 33°C and 34°C. Small differences in peak-hour timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily high across that threshold, while ensemble spreads reflect remaining uncertainty in subsidence strength and any late-day cloud development. A cooling trend from mid-August peaks above 35°C supports the lower probabilities for 35°C or higher, with official guidance expected to refine further in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,876Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid's August 22 maximum temperature near 32–34°C under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, driving the tight market split between 33°C and 34°C. Small differences in peak-hour timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily high across that threshold, while ensemble spreads reflect remaining uncertainty in subsidence strength and any late-day cloud development. A cooling trend from mid-August peaks above 35°C supports the lower probabilities for 35°C or higher, with official guidance expected to refine further in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,876Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid's August 22 maximum temperature near 32–34°C under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, driving the tight market split between 33°C and 34°C. Small differences in peak-hour timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily high across that threshold, while ensemble spreads reflect remaining uncertainty in subsidence strength and any late-day cloud development. A cooling trend from mid-August peaks above 35°C supports the lower probabilities for 35°C or higher, with official guidance expected to refine further in the next 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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