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icon for La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 24 agosto?

La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 24 agosto?

icon for La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 24 agosto?

La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 24 agosto?

12°C or below 90%

22°C or higher 81%

13°C 37%

20°C 37%

Polymarket
NUOVO

12°C or below 90%

22°C or higher 81%

13°C 37%

20°C 37%

Polymarket
NUOVO

12°C or below

$5 Vol.

90%

13°C

$5 Vol.

37%

14°C

$4 Vol.

19%

15°C

$0 Vol.

19%

16°C

$0 Vol.

19%

17°C

$0 Vol.

19%

18°C

$0 Vol.

27%

19°C

$0 Vol.

21%

20°C

$5 Vol.

37%

21°C

$5 Vol.

37%

22°C or higher

$5 Vol.

81%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 24 around 20–22°C, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under stable high pressure.** Light easterly or northeasterly winds and mostly clear skies through much of the day and early night are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling after sunset, while elevated dew points near 17–19°C limit how far temperatures can drop. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 12°C or below and 22°C or higher reflects uncertainty around key variables that control overnight minima. These include the exact timing and coverage of any incoming clouds or scattered thunderstorms (noted in several models for the evening or overnight period), subtle shifts in wind speed that could enhance or suppress mixing, and the strength of the urban heat island effect in the city center. Clear, calm conditions favor lower readings closer to 18–20°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, whereas increased cloud cover or moisture advection would keep the minimum nearer 22°C or above by trapping heat near the surface. Historical August lows in Milan average near 18°C, so the current consensus sits slightly above normal due to the warm, humid airmass in place. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying cloud and precipitation trends that most directly influence the final minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29
Data di fine
24 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 24 around 20–22°C, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under stable high pressure.** Light easterly or northeasterly winds and mostly clear skies through much of the day and early night are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling after sunset, while elevated dew points near 17–19°C limit how far temperatures can drop. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 12°C or below and 22°C or higher reflects uncertainty around key variables that control overnight minima. These include the exact timing and coverage of any incoming clouds or scattered thunderstorms (noted in several models for the evening or overnight period), subtle shifts in wind speed that could enhance or suppress mixing, and the strength of the urban heat island effect in the city center. Clear, calm conditions favor lower readings closer to 18–20°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, whereas increased cloud cover or moisture advection would keep the minimum nearer 22°C or above by trapping heat near the surface. Historical August lows in Milan average near 18°C, so the current consensus sits slightly above normal due to the warm, humid airmass in place. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying cloud and precipitation trends that most directly influence the final minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29
Data di fine
24 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Domande frequenti

"La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 24 agosto?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "12°C or below" a 45%, seguito da "22°C or higher" a 41%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 24 agosto?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 22, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 24 agosto?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 24 agosto?" è "12°C or below" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "22°C or higher" a 41%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 24 agosto?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.